Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.351686 0.379856 0.410116 0.445196 0.484937 0.528797 0.581187
2025-01-26 0.301140 0.342956 0.391680 0.453476 0.530996 0.626775 0.756988
2025-02-02 0.274692 0.326136 0.390140 0.477766 0.598273 0.764330 1.022949
2025-02-09 0.247802 0.303137 0.375371 0.480217 0.635466 0.870295 1.285061
2025-02-16 0.223447 0.279357 0.354982 0.469759 0.649987 0.944685 1.527504
2025-02-23 0.207078 0.263909 0.343257 0.468713 0.676989 1.044940 1.865736
2025-03-02 0.191608 0.247841 0.328326 0.459809 0.688326 1.119765 2.194926
2025-03-09 0.178412 0.233656 0.314395 0.450055 0.695562 1.188147 2.556005
2025-03-16 0.167397 0.221636 0.302393 0.441563 0.702982 1.258837 2.982141
2025-03-23 0.161972 0.217373 0.301792 0.452030 0.748280 1.429743 3.913407
2025-03-30 0.153633 0.208024 0.292186 0.445251 0.757353 1.516978 4.658529
2025-04-06 0.143642 0.195489 0.276425 0.425491 0.735511 1.516331 5.019594
2025-04-13 0.134264 0.183711 0.261626 0.407071 0.716091 1.524326 5.510507
2025-04-20 0.130234 0.180180 0.260420 0.414492 0.757142 1.731463 7.782319
2025-04-27 0.128757 0.180599 0.265928 0.435773 0.836888 2.118329 13.803437
2025-05-04 0.124340 0.175933 0.262181 0.437936 0.870109 2.370140 21.547066
2025-05-11 0.118651 0.168823 0.253537 0.428822 0.871529 2.498657 29.996454
2025-05-18 0.114598 0.164198 0.249004 0.427913 0.895673 2.752315 52.594595
2025-05-25 0.109940 0.158297 0.241712 0.420134 0.898452 2.910232 87.718282
2025-06-01 0.105534 0.152605 0.234432 0.411602 0.897331 3.052658 160.474189
2025-06-08 0.101585 0.147504 0.227932 0.404162 0.898176 3.213718 382.921076
2025-06-15 0.099949 0.146289 0.228641 0.413331 0.954453 3.798193 NaN
2025-06-22 0.096638 0.141997 0.223186 0.407394 0.959372 4.043339 NaN